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No.192 🇮🇷 伊朗往事：苹果树下的表演性承诺，与石油帝国的通胀迷航 ======================================
One Sentence Summary
This episode provides a deep dive into Iran's century-long political and economic rise and fall, analyzing how oil dividends evolved into a "resource trap" of hyperinflation and social unrest due to governance failures.
Podcast Info
From:半拿铁 | 商业沉浮录
Published At:Today
AI Score:
85
Categories
Business & Tech
Chinese
#### Tags
Iran Economy Macroeconomics Business History Oil & Energy Geopolitics
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半拿铁 | 商业沉浮录
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No.192 🇮🇷 Iran's Past: Performative Promises Under the Apple Tree and the Inflationary Maze of an Oil Empire --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
00:00 00:00
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Show Notes Content Overview Transcript Q&A Recap
主播 | 刘飞 潇磊
伊朗，一边是全球顶级的石油和天然气储量，一边是通胀失控、货币暴跌、年轻人找不到工作；一边是波斯帝国留下来的古老文明、电影大师和世界遗产，一边又是宗教高压、长期制裁、不断动荡。
它明明资源很多，教育不差，工业底子也不弱，为什么几十年里，普通人的日子却越过越难？
这一期，我们就从巴列维王朝、霍梅尼革命，一直聊到今天的伊朗，看看这个本该很富的国家，是怎么一步步走到今天的。
来杯半拿铁，咱们边喝边唠。
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时间轴 03:22 伊朗面临的三大魔幻矛盾 07:59 第一回：巴列维王朝始末 23:56 步子太大的“白色革命” 30:00 霍梅尼的崛起与造神运动 42:35 第二回：霍梅尼归国掌权 49:58 承诺落空与社会全方位倒退 51:43 革命卫队：政权内的巨兽 01:08:46 掌控经济的宗教基金会 01:13:14 第三回：哈梅内伊时代 01:35:26 第四回：恶性通胀与大抗议 01:43:19 数据看当下：贫困与流失
1970 年代的德黑兰
!Image 9 年轻的霍梅尼
!Image 10 苹果树下的霍梅尼
!Image 11 2025 年底，全国性爆发抗议
!Image 12 伊朗股市在去年底大涨了一波
!Image 13 主要参考资料：
* 维基百科 * White Revolution 白色革命，Britannica * One in three deaths in Iran linked to poor nutrition, official warns，Iranintl * Iran's runaway inflation empties tables, pushes children out of school，Iranintl * 对外投资合作国别（地区）指南：伊朗，中国商务部 * Beyond the IRGC: The rise of Iran's military-bonyad complex，Clingendael * Country Analysis Briefs，EIA - U.S. Energy Information Administration * 伊朗国家统计中心 (SCI) * Youth NEET rate，世界银行与国际劳工组织（ILO） * 德黑兰股市指数，TRADING ECONOMICS * 冰面下的巨鲸：伊朗影子经济的真相，秦朔朋友圈 * 伊朗，何以至此？虎嗅 * Gemini、ChatGPT、Claude 亦有贡献
片尾曲：
Baraye（为了） - 舒文·哈吉普尔
本期制作人：
无奶树
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No.192 🇮🇷 Iran's Past: Performative Promises Under the ... ===============