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Ray Dalio on Leveraging Believable People and Thoughtful Disagreement =====================================================================
Ray Dalio on Leveraging Believable People and Thoughtful Disagreement =====================================================================  ### Ray Dalio
@RayDalio
Seek the advice of the most believable people you can find. If you don't know how to judge who the most believable people are, seek the advice of others about how to do that, such as people who have already chosen such believable people. By questioning experts individually and encouraging them to have thoughtful disagreement with each other that I can listen to and ask questions about, I both raise my probability of being right and become much better educated. This is most true when the experts disagree with me or with each other. Smart people who can thoughtfully disagree are the greatest teachers, far better than a professor assigned to stand in front of a board and lecture at you. The knowledge I acquire usually leads to principles that I develop and refine for similar cases that arise in the future. #principleoftheday
Mar 15, 2026, 4:56 PM View on X
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32.6K Views  Ray Dalio @RayDalio
One Sentence Summary
Ray Dalio explains how to improve decision-making by seeking advice from believable experts and facilitating thoughtful disagreement among them.
Summary
Ray Dalio shares a core principle for effective decision-making: identifying and consulting 'believable' people. He suggests that if one cannot judge believability, they should seek guidance from those who can. By encouraging experts to engage in thoughtful disagreement while observing and questioning them, an individual can increase their probability of being right and gain a deeper education. This process ultimately leads to the development of refined principles for future use.
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Influence Score 77
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English
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Decision Making
Principles
Believability
Thoughtful Disagreement
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Ray Dalio on Leveraging Believable People and Thoughtful ... ===============