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假设的力量 — LessWrong

📅 2026-03-29 22:14 ysamuels 个人成长 4 分鐘 3920 字 評分: 80
LessWrong 理性 传播理论 博弈论 思维模型
📌 一句话摘要 对将“假设”作为一种用于沟通、协作和建立知识规范的思维框架的推测性探索,并将其与博弈论和心理舒适感进行了类比。 📝 详细摘要 作者探讨了“通过假设进行沟通”的概念,即一个人在心理上投射或假设他人存在支持性或协作性的想法,从而获得心理慰藉或协调行动,这类似于谢林点(Schelling points)。文章讨论了这种思维框架如何绕过时间和空间的物理限制,并可能作为建立隐性知识规范或禁忌的机制。作者邀请社区对这一想法的有效性及其在博弈论之外的潜在应用提供反馈。 💡 主要观点 假设可以作为一种沟通工具,绕过物理限制。 通过假设存在共同意图或支持性想法,个人可以创造一个用于慰藉或协

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_(First real Lesswrong post! Wow. This is a post on an idea I thought might be interesting to some people here, and I'd love to hear thoughts on it.)_

Assumption can be used as a communicative tool.

As a kid I would occasionally, before falling asleep, lie in bed and imagine that I had a very good friend to talk to, or who could cheer me on. Sometimes these were characters from my favorite books, but apparently at some point it occurred to me that presumably someone, somewhere, could be supposed to have anticipated someone else in the world feeling that way at some point, and might actually have wanted to send that someone a message of comfort, love, or support. At this point, all I had to do was imagine roughly what they might say, consider it to be said, and the message would have been received. To put it differently, I was aware that many, probably most, of the people in the world, knowing that I felt lonely, might have wanted to send me their blessings or support, and that presumably, at least one person who felt that way, over all space and time, probably realized that he could _send me_ that message, provided I was smart enough to realize he might try to.

So I could "communicate" with people, when the purpose was therapeutic in that way - I couldn't actually receive ideas I couldn't have thought of myself (by definition), but when it was the communication itself and not the words that mattered, I could receive the messages left for me by people who had found this mental space that was created by the assumption that others would _._ If I wanted to give as well as receive, I could "leave" messages too, for any future or past thinker, lonely or otherwise, to assume exist. Despite the obvious drawback of not being able to receive any idea you couldn't have thought of yourself, this communication does allow you to completely bypass constraints of language, time and space.

Assumption is famously used in problems where the goal is to meet with someone over varying areas when you have no (other) mode of communication. I personally had idly wondered for some years what the best way to meet with someone spoken to by assumption would be (assuming they had also considered the possibility of meeting). I remained stuck for quite some time wondering whether it was the Eiffel Tower or the Empire State Building that would be the best place to go at midnight, January first, with a big sign reading "You know why you're here. Talk to me", before realizing that the appropriate place on the internet was probably a much more logical rendezvous (thought that is not the main motive for me in writing here - I've wanted to contribute to LessWrong for some time now).

Just as another point of thought, communication through assumption could in theory be used to create intellectual taboos or norms among intelligent people, for example an accepted and implicit censoringof certain ideas or beliefs that could be realized by anyone smart enough to arrive at them as being unsuitable for spreading (I really hope this isn't one of those).

So:

  • Do you know anyone who has beaten me to writing about this? Please direct me to the source if so. (I hope not, but I do hope it has been thought about before, otherwise I've been played for quite a fool).
  • Do you think this idea is worth anything? Other than game theory, in what other fields or ways could it be used?
  • Have I ever spoken to _you_ telepathically before? If so, please write. That could be a very interesting conversation.
查看原文 → 發佈: 2026-03-29 22:14:04 收錄: 2026-03-30 02:00:43

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