Title: 国际油价大跌↘ | BestBlogs.dev
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Published Time: 2026-08-05 09:13:00
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国际油价大跌↘
Driven by optimistic expectations that the US and Iran may reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, international crude oil futures prices fell significantly by over 5%, though institutional analysts remain cautious about actual supply increases. 央 央视网Follow·
Today·498 words (about 2 min)
AI Summary & Key Points
Summary
On August 4, 2026, global oil prices fell significantly by over 5%, with WTI and Brent crude oil futures closing at $75.77 and $79.36 per barrel, respectively. The plunge was mainly driven by optimistic expectations that the US and Iran might soon reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz. The US stated that an agreement could be reached in the coming days, and Iran also indicated that negotiations have made positive progress. However, analysts at TD Securities pointed out that Iran is unlikely to relinquish control of the strait, and since current oil shipments already match production, the potential for the agreement to increase actual shipping volume is limited.
Main Points
* 1. Optimistic expectations drive a significant single-day drop of over 5% in global oil prices.
Market expectations that the US and Iran may soon reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz led to WTI and Brent crude oil futures plunging by 5.69% and 5.26% respectively at the close on the 4th.
* 2. Both US and Iranian officials signal positive progress in negotiations.
The US Treasury Secretary stated that an agreement could be reached on the 4th or 5th, and the Iranian Foreign Ministry also confirmed that negotiations with Oman regarding the strait issue have made progress on both technical and political levels.
* 3. Institutional strategists remain skeptical about the actual implementation of the agreement and the resulting supply increase.
Analysts at TD Securities pointed out that it is difficult for Iran to compromise without controlling the strait, and since current shipping volumes already match production, the scope for actual shipping increases brought by the agreement is limited.
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央视网 2026-08-05 09:13 北京
△资料图
受美国和伊朗或将很快达成涉霍尔木兹海峡协议乐观预期推动，国际原油期货价格4日早盘快速走低，盘中弱势盘整，收盘时国际油价显著下跌超5%。
截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所9月交货的轻质原油期货价格下跌4.57美元，收于每桶75.77美元，跌幅为5.69%；10月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格下跌4.41美元，收于每桶79.36美元，跌幅为5.26%。
据美国方面4日消息，美国财政部长贝森特称，有关霍尔木兹海峡的协议可能在4日或5日达成。贝森特称：“就在当下，也能看到不少船只驶出霍尔木兹海峡。”
伊朗外交部发言人巴加埃4日说，伊朗仍在与阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡进行谈判，谈判在技术和政治层面取得“积极进展”。
不过，道明证券策略师瑞恩·麦凯4日在一份研究报告中表示，伊朗不太可能在没有控制霍尔木兹海峡的情况下达成任何协议。由于当前石油运输量已经与产量匹配，即便达成相关协议，石油运输增加的潜力也很小。
（央视记者 曹健）
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Key Quotes
> Even right now, many vessels can be seen sailing out of the Strait of Hormuz.
> Since current oil shipments already match production, even if an agreement is reached, the potential for an increase in oil transportation is very small.
Tags
Crude Oil Futures
Commodities
Geopolitics
Macroeconomics
Investment & Markets
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