Title: 一周涨超 7%！国际金价为何突然大涨？ | BestBlogs.dev
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Published Time: 2026-08-09 12:07:00
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一周涨超 7%！国际金价为何突然大涨？
International gold prices rose rapidly this week due to weak U.S. employment data and growing expectations of eased Middle East tensions, with analysts saying prices still have room to rise. 央 央视网Follow·
Today·653 words (about 3 min)
AI Summary & Key Points
Summary
CCTV reported that international gold prices once reached $4,400 per ounce intraday this week, hitting a new high since mid-June. The article noted that U.S. nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000 in July, leading market expectations that the Federal Reserve would resume rate cuts. The dollar weakened and U.S. Treasury yields fell, making dollar-denominated gold more attractive to overseas buyers. Meanwhile, expectations of eased Middle East tensions reduced inflationary pressures and lessened the need for major central banks to tighten monetary policy further, also providing support for gold. Suki Cooper, Global Head of Commodities Research at Standard Chartered Bank, said that central bank gold purchases, geopolitical uncertainty, and demand for portfolio diversification remain strong, and gold could move back toward the $5,000 per ounce level. The World Gold Council, however, is relatively cautious, arguing that second-half demand will still be investment-driven, but full-year central bank gold purchases may be slightly lower than last year, suggesting that medium- to long-term upside momentum exists but is unlikely to replicate the previous sustained rally.
Main Points
* 1. An unexpected decline in U.S. nonfarm payrolls in July led market expectations that the Fed would restart rate cuts.
Weak employment data weakened the dollar, improving the appeal of dollar-denominated gold to overseas buyers and driving gold prices higher.
* 2. Expectations of eased Middle East tensions reduced inflationary pressures, lessening the need for major central banks to further tighten monetary policy.
This reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar while making gold more attractive as an inflation hedge.
* 3. Analysts are bullish on gold's medium- to long-term upside; Suki Cooper said gold prices could approach $5,000 per ounce.
Central bank gold purchases, geopolitical uncertainty, and demand for portfolio diversification remain strong, providing upside momentum for gold prices.
* 4. The World Gold Council predicts demand in the second half will still be investment-driven, but full-year central bank gold purchases may be slightly lower than last year.
This indicates that medium- to long-term upside momentum exists but is unlikely to replicate the previous sustained rally.
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央视网 2026-08-09 12:07 北京
本周，国际金价迎来强势反弹，盘中一度站上每盎司4400美元关口，创下6月中旬以来新高。据美国CNBC报道，疲软的美国就业数据、中东局势缓和预期升温，是推动本轮金价上涨的两大直接导火索。
美国劳工统计局最新公布的数据显示，美国7月非农就业人数意外减少2.3万人，为今年以来最差表现。疲软的就业数据让市场迅速调整对美联储利率政策的预测，9月维持利率不变的预期明显升温，甚至已经有不少投资者开始押注美联储将重启降息。在这一预期带动下，美元指数快速走弱，美债收益率回落，以美元计价的黄金对海外买家来说更加便宜，吸引力随之提升。 中东局势缓和预期也为金价提供支撑。国际在线交易券商IG集团的分析师表示，本周市场对中东局势缓和的预期不断升温，缓解了全球能源价格上涨压力，通胀预期降温，全球主要央行进一步收紧货币政策的必要性大幅降低，推动金价短期快速冲高。
黄金后市怎么走？
渣打银行大宗商品研究全球主管苏基・库珀日前在接受彭博社采访时表示，央行购金需求、地缘政治不确定性以及资产配置多元化需求依然强劲，金价有望重新向每盎司5000美元关口迈进。
世界黄金协会的最新预测则相对谨慎，认为下半年黄金需求仍将主要由投资需求驱动，央行购金仍是支撑金价的重要力量，但今年全年各央行购金规模预计将略低于去年。这意味着，尽管黄金中长期配置价值依然存在，但很难简单复制此前持续上涨的走势。 !Image 9: 图片
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Key Quotes
> U.S. nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000 in July, the worst performance so far this year.
> Gold prices are expected to move back toward the $5,000 per ounce mark.
Tags
Gold
U.S. Employment Data
Fed Interest Rates
Middle East Situation
Central Bank Gold Purchases
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